Clinic Schedule

Note that the schedule below is preliminary and subject to change. Materials linked from this page are also subject to change and should not be considered final until the conclusion of the relevant session.

Saturday, 9 Dec

• 15:00 Hotel check-in available for faculty and international participants
• 18:00 Early arrivals may meet in the lobby for an informal group dinner

Sunday, 10 Dec

• 15:00 Hotel check-in available for all participants
• 16:00-16:30 Welcome and introductions
• 16:30-16:45 What are we doing here? (Steve Bellan) - Download roadmap, Slides
• 16:45-17:30 What is Science: models and data (Brian Williams) - Slides
• 17:30-17:45 Working with the DAIDD 2017 Dropbox Folder (Carl Pearson)
  • Make sure your slides are uploaded for tomorrow’s morning session!
• 17:45-18:30 Ice breakers (Gavin Hitchcock)
• 18:30 Dinner as a group

Monday, 11 Dec

• 7:00 Transfer to White Oak
  • breakfast upon arrival
• 8:40-10:20 Research pitches (Moderator: Jonathan Dushoff)
• 10:20-10:50 Morning break
• 10:50 - 11:50 Simplification for generalization: Intuitive aspects of dynamics and introduction to model worlds (Juliet Pulliam) - Slides
• 11:50 - 12:20 Overview of research plan development and structure (Juliet Pulliam)
• 12:30-2:00 Lunch
• 2:00-2:15 Introduction to White Oak
• 2:15-3:30 Writing exercise: formulating research questions for modeling projects (Rebecca Borchering)
• 3:30-4:00 Afternoon break
• 4:00-5:45 Dynamical Fever - computer exercise and discussion (John Hargrove)
• 5:45-6:00 Dynamical Fever - model description, modeling terminology and taxonomy (Juliet Pulliam) - Download
• 6:00-6:30 Welcome reception

Tuesday, 12 Dec

• 8:40-9:00 Research Talk: Potential effects of the recent Zika epidemic in Latin America on observed dengue incidence (Rebecca Borchering)
• 9:00-10:30 The SIR model family - conceptual framework and introduction to difference and differential equations (Jonathan Dushoff) - Slides
  • Exercise
  • Spreadsheet; Old spreadsheet (includes spreadsheet Gillespie)
• 10:30-11:00 Morning break
• 11:00-11:45 Small group session: research questions for modeling projects (All faculty) - Group assignments
• 11:45-12:30 Reed-Frost models (Carl Pearson) - Slides
• 12:30-2:00 Lunch break
• 2:00-3:00 Reed-Frost models continued (Carl Pearson) - Slides
• 3:00-4:15 Use of models in study design for dynamic systems: Ebola vaccine trial design (Steve Bellan) - Slides, Bellan et al. (2015) Lancet Inf Dis, Ebola Papers by ICI3D Faculty
• 4:15-4:45 Afternoon break
  • Make sure your research question is in the researchQuestions folder on Dropbox before the next session!
• 4:45-6:00 Exercise: Creating a model world to address a research question (Juliet Pulliam) - Slides
• 8:00-9:00 Work session

Wednesday, 13 Dec

• 8:40-9:00 Research Talk: Death in Baragwanath: The impact of HIV (Brian Williams)
• 9:00-11:00 Stochastic simulation models (Rebecca Borchering) - Slides
  • Stochastic Simulation Code
• 10:30-11:00 Morning break
• 11:00-11:30 Research Talk: A quantitative framework for balancing ethical tradeoffs in vaccine study design (Steve Bellan)
• 11:30-12:30 Modeling in practice: The life cycle of a modeling project, from conception to publication (John Hargrove) - Slides
• 12:30-2:00 Lunch break
• 2:00-3:45 Impact of contact patterns, consequences of heterogeneity, and modeling options (Jonathan Dushoff) - Slides, Exercise summary
• 3:45-4:15 Afternoon break
• 4:15-5:15 Small-group session: matching models to questions (All faculty) - Group assignments
• 5:15-6:00 Work session
• 8:00-9:00 Mid-session feedback (Gavin Hitchcock)

Thursday, 14 Dec

• 8:40-8:50 Regroup after feedback (Steve Bellan)
• 8:50-9:10 Research Talk:Estimating probabilities of extinction in environments with varying climate (John Hargrove)
• 9:10-10:55 Writing exercise - description of proposed model and assumptions (Juliet Pulliam) - Group assignments, Example model description
• 10:55-11:00 Group Photo
• 11:00-1:00 Game Drive
• 1:00-2:00 Lunch
• 2:00-3:30 Models and data: introduction to model fitting (Steve Bellan) - Slides
• 3:30-4:00 Afternoon break
• 4:00-5:15 Model fitting tutorial (John Hargrove) - Boxcar Model Slides
• 5:15-6:00 Working session
• 8:00-9:00 Social activity (Steve Bellan)

Friday, 15 Dec

Breakfast has been moved to 7:50-8:50 for Friday.

• 9:00-10:30 Use of models in public health decision-making: Dengue vaccination roll-out (Carl Pearson) Slides, References: Flasche et al. 2016, Hladish et al. 2016
• 10:30-11:00 Morning break
• 11:00-12:00 Model evaluation and comparison (Jonathan Dushoff) - Slides
• 12:00-12:30 Model-based inference and the bigger picture (Steve Bellan) - Slides to be added
• 12:30-2:00 Lunch break
• 2:00-3:30 Mentored working session (All faculty) - Faculty assignments
  • Be sure to submit your written model description and final (digital) model diagram before your one-on-one meeting. (See instructions)
• 4:00 Depart White Oak
• 5:00-6:30 Writing exercise - revise based on feedback and plan for moving forward (including identified resources and potential collaborators)
• 7:00-8:30 Dinner at Green Papaya

Saturday, 16 Dec

• 8:15-9:00 Breakfast
  • Be sure to submit your final research plan by 9:00
• 9:15-9:50 Discussion of research plans/proposals (Moderator: Jonathan Dushoff)
• 9:50-10:00 Short break
• 10:00-10:50 Discussion of research plans/proposals (Moderator: Jonathan Dushoff)
• 10:50-11:10 Short break
• 11:10-12:15 Final feedback session (Gavin Hitchcock)
• 12:15-12:30 Closing session (Steve Bellan)
• 12:30-13:00 Lunch